Election night: Christian Today predictions on which Christian candidates will lose their seats

When the first list of marginal seats was drawn up in April, Labour were fearing annihilation and MPs with majorities of 8,000 and more were told they were at risk.

After one of the most extraordinary election campaigns in recent memory the picture is entirely different.

If some polls are correct, the Conservatives could even fail to maintain the slim majority they have at the moment and we could be heading for a hung parliament.

Both Tories and Labour seats are now vulnerable, including a number with Christian candidates.

Here are 20 areas to watch out for on election night:

Ilford North – Wes Streeting, majority of 589

Wes Streeting won one of the UK's most marginal seats in 2015 by just 589 votes.

Given the area's lean towards Brexit (52 per cent) and a significant number of Jewish voters furious at Jeremy Corbyn's perceived softness on antisemitism, Streeting needs a major Labour surge to keep his seat.

Christian Today prediction: Conservative gain from Labour.

Eastbourne – Caroline Ansell, majority of 733

Thanks to the Lib Dem's collapse in 2015, Ansell snatched the seat by a small majority. Despite a determined campaign from Tim Farron's team, their pro-EU message is unlikely to cut through in a constituency where 57 per cent backed Brexit.

Christian Today prediction: Conservative hold.

Barrow and Furness – John Woodcock, majority of 795

After narrowly holding off the Conservatives in 2015, Labour's John Woodcock is struggling to repeat the feat this time. A strong critic of Brexit, Woodcock is fighting against a large UKIP vote, most of whom are expected to turn towards the Conservatives in an area where 57 per cent voted to Leave.

Christian Today prediction: Conservative gain from Labour.

Lewes – Maria Caulfield, majority of 1,083

Caulfield was another Tory who benefited from the Lib Dem's capitulation in 2015 and has fought a tough battle to retain her seat against Tim Farron's anti-Brexit message. Lewes voted Remain by 53 per cent and may look to punish Caulfield, who sided with the Leave campaign.

But she will take comfort in the fact that the much heralded #LibDemFightback has failed to gain momentum.

Christian Today prediction: Conservative hold.

Lancaster and Fleetwood – Cat Smith, majority of 1,265

After winning her seat from the Conservatives in 2015, Cat Smith is likely to lose it again this time round.

A loyal sidekick to Jeremy Corbyn, Smith will hope her leader's late surge in the polls comes off. But the Conservatives remain ahead and will be confident of regaining the Lancaster area.

Christian Today prediction: Conservative gain from Labour.

Westminster North – Karen Buck, majority of 1,977

A tough one to call. A slim majority means Karen Buck is high on the Tory's target list but her longserving record as an MP and her strong anti-Brexit stance in a pro-Remain seat may save her.

Christian Today prediction: Labour hold.

Clwyd South – Susan Elan Jones, majority of 2,402

Susan's Elan Jones' description of Brexit as a 'disaster' will not have won her many friends in a constituency where 60 per cent voted to Leave.

Despite what would normally be considered a comfortable majority, the former shadow Welsh minister is in real trouble with 15 per cent of voters in 2015 backing UKIP. Most of these are expected to switch to the Conservatives.

Christian Today prediction: Conservative gain from Labour.

St Ives – Derek Thomas, majority of 2,469

Another South-West Conservative fighting off a Lib Dem campaign, Derek Thomas will take comfort from polling that suggests most UKIPers are switching back to the Tories after the vote to Leave. The party beat Labour to third place in 2015 in St Ives and their extra support should keep Thomas safe.

Christian Today prediction: Conservative hold.

Stoke on Trent South – Rob Flello, majority of 2,539

Flello is an outspoken Catholic who, like most Catholics, backed Remain in the EU referendum. Unfortunately for him Stoke on Trent is one of the most pro-Leave areas in the country.

His only saving grace may be that Brexit has not defined this election in the way Theresa May wanted and Jeremy Corbyn is showing signs of cutting through to the working class voters he initially alienated.

Christian Today prediction: Conservative gain from Labour.

Wakefield – Mary Creagh, majority of 2,613

A similar picture for Mary Creagh – a strident Remainer in a seat where 62 per cent voted to Leave.

Can she rely on a late Labour surge to protect her?

Christian Today prediction: Conservative gain from Labour.

Warrington South – David Mowat, majority of 2,750

In a constituency split 50/50 by Brexit, Mowat cannot rely on Theresa May's apparent resolve to Leave to cut through. But his relatively healthy majority should protect him, even his Jeremy Corbyn's surge does materialise.

Christian Today prediction: Conservative hold.

Torbay – Kevin Foster, majority of 3,286

Kevin Foster is a Remain-backing Conservative in a seat that backed Brexit by 62 per cent. But his closest rivals are the Lib Dems whose relentless pro-EU message is even less likely to win support.

Christian Today prediction: Conservative hold.

Bishop Auckland – Helen Goodman, majority of 3,508

A pattern for vulnerable Labour MPs is developing – ardent Remainers in strong Leave areas.

'I am just off to do my constituency surgery where I will meet a lot of people I can do nothing for,' she told The Independent the day after the Brexit vote.

Her problem may be the people of Bishop Auckland agree.

Christian Today prediction: Conservative gain from Labour.

Bath – Ben Howlett, majority of 3,833

Bath is one of the key Lib Dem target seats and has been visited by Tim Farron more than once in this election. Ben Howlett has sought to emphasise his support for Remain and a soft-Brexit in an area where an overwhelming 68 per cent voted Remain.

But a shambolic Lib Dem campaign and a general failure of Tim Farron to gain momentum should keep Howlett safe.

Christian Today prediction: Conservative hold.

Bermondsey and Old Southwark – Neil Coyle, majority of 4,489

Neil Coyle is in a different place from many of his Labour colleagues – he is fighting against a Lib Dem candidate, Simon Hughes, who is trying to regain his old seat in east London.

Both men are Christians, both keenly emphasising their anti-Brexit stance. The difference will be how the people of Bermondsey and Old Southwark view Jeremy Corbyn's reign as Labour leader.

Christian Today prediction: Labour hold.

Dagenham and Rainham – Jon Cruddas, majority of 4,980

Dagenham and Rainham would not normally be considered vulnerable but it was one of the few seats in 2015 where UKIP came second with 12,850 votes. With their aim to leave the EU fulfilled, where these voters turn to next will decide Jon Cruddas' fate.

Christian Today prediction: Labour hold.

The $400 Mouse I Thought Was Ridiculously Expensive—Until It Changed How I Work
$0 $0
50% OFF
All-Weather HDPE Plastic Adirondack Chair with Cup Holder – Navy Blue
$70 $139.99
50% OFF
7-Color LED Red Light Therapy Mask for Face and Anti-Aging
$29.99 $59.99
49% OFF
Cordless Vacuum Cleaner - 480W/45Kpa Powerful Stick Vacuum with LED Smart Touch Screen
$55.99 $109.99
20% OFF
Hypoallergenic Pet Wipes for Dogs & Cats - 400 Count Extra Large Coconut Scented Grooming Wipes
$24.79 $30.99
49% OFF
MANSPOT Electric Pubic Hair Trimmer - Waterproof Body and Groin Shaver for Men and Women (Black)
$20.39 $40
25% OFF
Lick-Safe Dog Paw and Nose Balm Stick - All-Natural Moisturizer with Coconut Oil for Dry, Cracked Pads and Snout
$11.69 $15.59
77% OFF
Men's Quick Dry Moisture Wicking Polo Shirt - High Elasticity Slim Fit Athletic Top (Runs Small)
$6.99 $29.99
46% OFF
Men's Running Shorts with Zipper Pockets - Lightweight, Quick-Dry, Multi-Sport
$12.95 $23.99
50% OFF
NEWFAST NF-RE523 AC1200 WiFi Extender - 1200Mbps Dual Band Signal Booster & Internet Repeater
$18.5 $36.99
48% OFF
G Gradual Men's 7-inch Workout Running Shorts - Lightweight, Quick-Dry, Comfort
$12.91 $24.99
30% OFF
NOVETE Under Sink Water Filter - 3 Years, 30,000 Gallons, High-Efficiency Filtration
$41.99 $59.99
50% OFF
HDPE All-Weather Adirondack Chair with Built-In Cup Holder - Tool-Free Assembly (Grey)
$69.99 $139.99
60% OFF
HOMETUK Clear Plastic Storage Bins with Dividers - 3-Pack Stackable Acrylic Organizer Containers for Fridge and Pantry
$19.99 $49.99
58% OFF
G Gradual Men's Fishing Shirt - UPF 50+ Lightweight Short Sleeve Button Down with Zipper Pockets
$14.99 $35.99
55% OFF
Everyfun 60" Rectangular Platform Tree Swing - 700lbs Heavy Duty Adjustable Outdoor Swing (Colorful)
$49.99 $110.99
61% OFF
Ekouaer Women's Casual Loose Jumpsuit - One-Piece Printed Sleeveless Wide Leg Romper with Pockets
$14.99 $37.99
36% OFF
Men's Athletic Running Shorts with Zipper Pockets - Lightweight & Quick Dry
$12.74 $19.99
61% OFF
Modern Ceiling Fan with Light and Remote - Reversible Quiet DC Motor
$69.3 $179.99
50% OFF
MOOKA H13 True HEPA Air Purifier for Home Large Room - 1076 sq ft Odor Eliminator
$39.97 $79.95
Newsletter Stay up to date with Christian Today
News
TV’s ‘Pilgrimage’ series wins special award
TV’s ‘Pilgrimage’ series wins special award

‘Pilgrimage,’ the TV series that brings together a group of celebrities and invites them to walk together to a religious site, has won a Special Award for its contribution to encouraging understanding between different faiths and outlooks.

Difficult choices in a dangerous world
Difficult choices in a dangerous world

John Healey’s resignation exposes difficult questions about Britain’s security - and invites Christians to reflect on defence, justice, and where true hope is found.

Five Christian footballers using football’s biggest stage to point people to Christ
Five Christian footballers using football’s biggest stage to point people to Christ

Amid the goals, trophies and celebrations, some players are using football’s biggest stage to point beyond themselves and give glory to God. 

New study links marriage to lower rates of family breakdown
New study links marriage to lower rates of family breakdown

A new study concludes that marriage strengthens family stability, challenging long-standing assertions that it is the same as cohabitation.

Today's Top Deals

The $400 Mouse I Thought Was Ridiculously Expensive—Until It Changed How I Work

$0
$0 0% OFF
View Deal

All-Weather HDPE Plastic Adirondack Chair with Cup Holder – Navy Blue

$70
$139.99 50% OFF
View Deal

7-Color LED Red Light Therapy Mask for Face and Anti-Aging

$29.99
$59.99 50% OFF
View Deal

Cordless Vacuum Cleaner - 480W/45Kpa Powerful Stick Vacuum with LED Smart Touch Screen

$55.99
$109.99 49% OFF
View Deal

Hypoallergenic Pet Wipes for Dogs & Cats - 400 Count Extra Large Coconut Scented Grooming Wipes

$24.79
$30.99 20% OFF
View Deal

MANSPOT Electric Pubic Hair Trimmer - Waterproof Body and Groin Shaver for Men and Women (Black)

$20.39
$40 49% OFF
View Deal

Lick-Safe Dog Paw and Nose Balm Stick - All-Natural Moisturizer with Coconut Oil for Dry, Cracked Pads and Snout

$11.69
$15.59 25% OFF
View Deal

Men's Quick Dry Moisture Wicking Polo Shirt - High Elasticity Slim Fit Athletic Top (Runs Small)

$6.99
$29.99 77% OFF
View Deal

Men's Running Shorts with Zipper Pockets - Lightweight, Quick-Dry, Multi-Sport

$12.95
$23.99 46% OFF
View Deal

NEWFAST NF-RE523 AC1200 WiFi Extender - 1200Mbps Dual Band Signal Booster & Internet Repeater

$18.5
$36.99 50% OFF
View Deal

G Gradual Men's 7-inch Workout Running Shorts - Lightweight, Quick-Dry, Comfort

$12.91
$24.99 48% OFF
View Deal

NOVETE Under Sink Water Filter - 3 Years, 30,000 Gallons, High-Efficiency Filtration

$41.99
$59.99 30% OFF
View Deal

HDPE All-Weather Adirondack Chair with Built-In Cup Holder - Tool-Free Assembly (Grey)

$69.99
$139.99 50% OFF
View Deal

HOMETUK Clear Plastic Storage Bins with Dividers - 3-Pack Stackable Acrylic Organizer Containers for Fridge and Pantry

$19.99
$49.99 60% OFF
View Deal

G Gradual Men's Fishing Shirt - UPF 50+ Lightweight Short Sleeve Button Down with Zipper Pockets

$14.99
$35.99 58% OFF
View Deal

Everyfun 60" Rectangular Platform Tree Swing - 700lbs Heavy Duty Adjustable Outdoor Swing (Colorful)

$49.99
$110.99 55% OFF
View Deal

Ekouaer Women's Casual Loose Jumpsuit - One-Piece Printed Sleeveless Wide Leg Romper with Pockets

$14.99
$37.99 61% OFF
View Deal

Men's Athletic Running Shorts with Zipper Pockets - Lightweight & Quick Dry

$12.74
$19.99 36% OFF
View Deal

Modern Ceiling Fan with Light and Remote - Reversible Quiet DC Motor

$69.3
$179.99 61% OFF
View Deal

MOOKA H13 True HEPA Air Purifier for Home Large Room - 1076 sq ft Odor Eliminator

$39.97
$79.95 50% OFF
View Deal