Distant but gigantic comets pose greater threat to Earth than asteroids, can wipe out mankind, scientists warn

An image shows a comet striking coastal Yucatan, forming the giant Chicxulub impact crater and causing the extinction of the non-avian dinosaurs. (NASA/Don Davis)

For the past two decades, hundreds of giant comets have been discovered in our solar system near the outer planets. But they were dismissed as harmless to life on Earth by virtue of their sheer distance to our planet.

But now astronomers are saying these giant comets known as centaurs may not be harmless after all. In fact, just one of these comets is enough to destroy Earth if it hits our planet.

A team of astronomers from Armagh Observatory and the University of Buckingham has issued a warning that these massive comets, measuring 50 to 100 kilometres across, seriously threaten life on Earth, and are capable of wiping out the entire human race.

In the December issue of Astronomy & Geophysics (A&G), the team—composed of Professors Bill Napier and Duncan Steel of the University of Buckingham, Professor Mark Bailey of Armagh Observatory, and Dr. David Asher, also at Armagh—said these distant comets are actually greater hazards to Earth compared to closer asteroids.

Napier explained that the centaurs, which move around on unstable orbits crossing the paths of the massive outer planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune, can occasionally be deflected towards Earth due to planetary gravitational fields.

"In the last three decades we have invested a lot of effort in tracking and analysing the risk of a collision between the Earth and an asteroid," the professor explained.

"Our work suggests we need to look beyond our immediate neighbourhood too, and look out beyond the orbit of Jupiter to find centaurs. If we are right, then these distant comets could be a serious hazard, and it's time to understand them better," he added.

Based on the researchers' estimates, a centaur can reach the inner solar system and be held towards the Earth's path once every 40,000 to 100,000 years.

Although the gigantic comets are likely to disintegrate when they reach Earth's atmosphere, their debris can still hit and bring destruction to our planet.

In fact, the researchers hypothesised that these giant comets led to the mass extinction of dinosaurs some 65 million years ago.

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