The Religious Breakdown Across 11 Swing States

"The evangelical vote" has become the most banal and overused phrase in the 2016 US election coverage.

Incessant polls show the fluctuations of how white evangelicals are voting but beyond the core "evangelical" vote, other religious groups could prove crucial in eleven key swing states. From Trump's ban on Muslim immigrants to the "Muslims for Trump" campaign group, evangelicals are far from the sole religious grouping as America heads to the polls.

Christian Today has broken down the demographics across 11 states based on figures from Pew Research Center.


Florida holds the the most Electoral College votes of all the swing states with 29 and will be pivotal on election night. 

Pew Research Center


Pennsylvania, with 20 votes, is another must-win state for both candidates for a realistic chance of grabbing the keys to the White House. 

Pew Research Center


Although still a swing state, Michigan has gone to the Democrats every time since 1992. 

Pew Research Center

North Carolina 

North Carolina will be crucial on election night. With 15 seats it has significant weight and the well respected site puts Clinton's chances here at just 55 per cent. She is at 71 per cent nationally according to the site.

Pew Research Center


Virginia had gone to the Republicans every year since 1964 until Obama swung it back to the Democrats in 2008. If Trump can wrestle back its 13 votes, he could have a good shot at the White House.

Pew Research Center


With comparatively fewer Christians in Colarado, Clinton could see this as a safer win for her. But with nine electoral college votes it is not as crucial Florida, Pennsylvania and Michigan, all of which top 70 per cent Christian population.

Pew Research Center


Ohio is polling towards Trump at the moment and with 18 electoral college votes this could be a key win for the Republican. It has also been as a bellweather state having voted for the ultimate winner in every year apart from 1944 and 1960.

Pew Research Center


A Democrat state since 1988, Clinton will probably be heading for defeat if Wisconsin is called for Trump.

Pew Research Center


Nevada has just six electoral college votes but has flipped from Democrat to Republican to Democrat again during the 1990s and 2000s.

Pew Research Center


Iowa's 77 per cent Christian population and heavy evangelical presence is a big factor. FiveThirtyEight has Trump at 68 per cent here.

Pew Research Center

New Hampshire

Finally New Hampshire should be a win for Clinton having gone Democrat at the last three presidential cycles. But it holds just four votes so won't be as key as others come election night.

Pew Research Center