Super Tuesday: How evangelical Christians are still the deciding factor

Evangelicals are set to play a deciding role for Republicans in the Super Tuesday states, according to Pew research.

Next Tuesday sees presidential primary votes taken in 12 US states and one territory. 

Statistics from Pew's 2014 Religious Landscape Study reveal evangelical Protestant churches make up "huge shares" of Republicans in most Super Tuesday states.

This includes majorities in Tennessee (67 per cent), Alabama (63 per cent), Arkansas (61 per cent) and Georgia (57 per cent).

In Texas, which is the most significant goal of the day with 155 GOP delegates at stake, evangelicals make up 46 per cent of Republicans.

Massachusetts, one of five Super Tuesday states outside of the south, bucks the trend with only 10 per cent of Republicans being evangelical.

With two-thirds of Republican voters across the 12 states saying religion is very important to them, it will be deciding factor in whether Marco Rubio or Ted Cruz can dent Donald Trump's significant lead in the polls.

As Pew was quick to point out, "religious groups rarely vote as a fully unified bloc" but bringing the majority on side will be a deciding factor on Tuesday. This was demonstrated in South Carolina as Trump claimed 34 per cent of white evangelical voters, leaving Ted Cruz with 26 per cent and Marco Rubio with 21 per cent.

Religion is less influential among Democrat voters and those with no religious affiliation are the largest group in three of the 12 states that will vote on Tuesday.

"This includes Massachusetts (where religious "nones" make up 37 per cent of Democrats), Colorado (38 per cent) and Vermont, where fully half of Democrats are religiously unaffiliated," according to Pew.

However black Protestant churches are crucial for Democrat candidates particularly in Alabama where they make up 39 per cent of voters and Georgia (32 per cent).

And although evangelicals tend to side with Republicans, they are still a significant constituency for Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton. They make up 20 per cent of Democrats across Tuesday's 12 states and in Tennessee they are the biggest group at 39 per cent.

So expect both Democrat and Republican candidates to be extolling their religious virtues in the build up to Super Tuesday as it is likely to prove a crucial day in deciding the presidential battle later this year.

related articles
Ted Cruz fires aide who shared Marco Rubio Bible video

Ted Cruz fires aide who shared Marco Rubio Bible video

Obama, the antichrist and rapture theology: Why Christians have got to leave the 'end times' alone

Obama, the antichrist and rapture theology: Why Christians have got to leave the 'end times' alone

Church of England already liberalised on sexuality, says Christian Concern
Church of England already liberalised on sexuality, says Christian Concern

Church of England already liberalised on sexuality, says Christian Concern

Evangelical Alliance denies \'unfounded\' Barnabas allegations
Evangelical Alliance denies 'unfounded' Barnabas allegations

Evangelical Alliance denies 'unfounded' Barnabas allegations

How to overcome the greatest sin of our time

How to overcome the greatest sin of our time

Bad news for Bernie: Atheism and socialism most unpopular characteristics for presidential candidates

Bad news for Bernie: Atheism and socialism most unpopular characteristics for presidential candidates

News
CoE sees surge in interest this Christmas amid reports of a 'quiet revival'
CoE sees surge in interest this Christmas amid reports of a 'quiet revival'

The Church of England has said that it is experiencing a surge in interest and that it has registered a record number of services this Christmas.

Nicaragua bans international visitors from bringing in Bibles
Nicaragua bans international visitors from bringing in Bibles

Nicaragua has gone up the league table of anti-Christian persecutors.

The little-known prayers written by Jane Austen
The little-known prayers written by Jane Austen

It is now 250 years since the birth of Jane Austen whose books and their many screen adaptations are beloved around the world. Not many people know that she was a devout Christian who also wrote devotional prayers. This is the story …

The Anglican worldview of Jane Austen’s life and novels
The Anglican worldview of Jane Austen’s life and novels

16 December 2025 marks the 250th anniversary of the birth of novelist Jane Austen, who was born in southern England in 1775. Her novels are steeped in biblical analogy and practical theology. This is the story…